Alexander Green writes: In my last column, I wrote about how life today is getting objectively better yet polls show we fail to recognize it.
Two-thirds of Americans believe the country is on the wrong track, a number that has hardly shifted in the last three years.
But take a closer look. We enjoy economic, political and religious freedoms denied to millions down through history and around the world today. Life expectancy is increasing. Standards of living are rising. Technology and medicine are easing and extending our lives. U.S. household wealth is at an all-time record high.
A funny thing happened on the way to a nuclear-free world — Japan realized what a stupid idea that was.
You will probably recall that in the wake of the earthquake/tsunami/Fukushima nuclear disaster Japan shuttered its 50 nuclear power plants, which were supplying between 30% and 40% of the island-nation’s electricity needs. For the first time in more than three decades, Japan was totally dependent on non-nuclear fuels. The country became a poster-child for a nuclear-free future, and countries including Germany, Italy, Sweden and others followed suit, announcing they, too, would phase-out nuclear energy.
Suppose you bring a fur coat to a dry cleaner, and discover that the owner allowed his wife to wear it before cleaning it (which is also the subject of an episode from Seinfeld). Or, suppose you gave your car keys to a hotel valet and, when attempting to pick up the car later, were told your automobile was lent to teenagers who took it for a joy ride while you slept at the hotel. You would not be too happy, and for good reason. When you surrendered your clothes or your car keys it was a bailment. You retained ownership and gave the clothes or car keys for safekeeping. In no shape or form, did you surrender ownership of the items or lend out your property.
Gold spiked higher in many price feeds overnight and was $270 higher or more than 22% higher to $1,467.50/oz at one stage in what appears to have been some form of computer glitch.
There was speculation that the price spike which came while the COMEX was closed for 30 minutes was due to a series of charting errors or misprints, a bad price feed or a computer glitch. Another example of how technology is a great enabler but can also be a great disabler.
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Google Inc. (Nasdaq: GOOG) has grown to be the fourth most valuable U.S. company, with a market capitalization of $370 billion.
Only Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL), Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), and Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT) are larger. In 2015, the company will likely generate more than $60 billion in revenue and more than $17 billion in net income.
As we approach Thanksgiving in the States, Streetwise Reports reached out to some of our most popular experts for perspective on the natural resource market during this volatile time. While some thought 2014 was so bad it was good—for contrarian investors—others will be all too happy to see the year in the rearview mirror.
Streewise Reports: What is the 2014 development for which you are most grateful?
Tensions in the US are high. Hundreds of millions of people have been extorted and many have been kidnapped and beaten. People are frustrated and demanding answers, and to find them they are looking to…. authority figures?
They’ve been well-trained. But it is not with these authority figures true liberation lies. It would be better for us all, as individuals, to look deep inside ourselves and find an inner calm that runs in all living beings and recognize the true terrorists.
At the start of November with winter fast approaching and the temperature starting to drop, I decided it was time to get a decent set of ladders to enable me to complete a whole host of maintenance tasks before winter and after much searching settled on a large 12 rung Triple Extension Ladder supplied by the online retailer TrueShopping.co.uk, that could also be used as double extension step ladder though which lacked adequate online customer reviews though I did not think it would make much material difference to products such as ladders.
If a new collaborative document had recently been released in which some of the world’s most influential economists were urging the nations of the world to force negative returns on savers as a long-term matter of policy – might this be of importance to you?
What if many of the world’s leading economists believed that the path for the economic future could be one that directly contradicts the assumptions upon which traditional stock and bond investing is based? Might that be an important development to consider as you decide how to invest your retirement assets?
Last month kicked off a new long-term Kress cycle. The Kress cycle, which answers to the Kondratief wave of inflation/deflation, is responsible for the overall climate of economic and financial market conditions in the U.S. This long-term cycle also influences the course of central bank monetary policy by creating the conditions which the Federal Reserve must tailor its policy response to.
Earlier today, the Conference Board showed that its index of consumer confidence dropped to 88.7 in November, missing analysts’ expectations for an increase to 95.9. In a response, the U.S. dollar moved lower, which pushed the EUR/USD pair to an important resistance line. Will we see a breakout and further improvement?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified – summary:
SPX appears to have quit rallying and has broken down beneath the upper trendline of its trading channel. This is not yet a sell signal, just an alert that SPX is in a probable reversal mode. An aggressive sell signal may come beneath the upper trendline of the Orthodox Broadening Top or the lower trendline of the trading channel, both in the vicinity of 2058.00-2060.00.
Today is day 41 of the Cycle emerging from the October 15 low. The peak registers at 202.6 hours from the low. 202.6 is divisible by both 4.3 and 3.1416, which is often the combination for corrective moves, which this is.
It feels as if we’ve been here before. The previous forecast for a high to the right shoulder on 9/19/14 looked good but was obviously incorrect (on the other hand, it was followed by a drop of 1,163 points in the Dow). The evidence pointing to that high was like a Ford Edsel compared to the Lamborghini-like evidence pointing to a top now; a Lamborghini powered by a flux capacitor!
The Sept 9 breakdown from a flattened top counts 37 days to the low on Oct 15. 37 days later is Saturday, Nov 22.
When it takes up to four million pounds of sand to frack a single well, it’s no wonder that demand is outpacing supply and frack sand producers are becoming the biggest behind-the-scenes beneficiaries of the American oil and gas boom.
Demand is exploding for “frac sand”–a durable, high-purity quartz sand used to help produce petroleum fluids and prop up man-made fractures in shale rock formations through which oil and gas flows–turning this segment into the top driver of value in the shale revolution.
The referendum on the Swiss Gold Initiative will take place on November 30.1 The Initiative demands the following: (1) The Swiss National Bank (SNB) shall be prohibited from selling any of its gold reserves; (2) the SNB’s gold reserves must be stored in Switzerland; and (3) the SNB must keep at least 20 percent of its assets in gold (i.e., the “20-percent rule”).
The balance sheet of the SNB currently amounts to 522.3bn CHF (Swiss francs), with its gold holdings and claims from gold transactions amounting to 39.4bn CHF. The share of gold of the SNB’s assets is therefore about 7.5 percent — substantially lower than what the Initiative calls for.
Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions are currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.
Yesterday was a day when the precious metals market took a breather, but it’s not true that nothing changed at all. Friday’s breakout in platinum was invalidated. Is this a “short again” signal?
In short, not really, because this signal – even though it’s bearish – is not enough to make the situation very bearish on its own.